Bitcoin Could Hit a Minimum of $270000 in 2025, Says Quant Analyst PlanB

Renowned quantitative analyst PlanB has projected that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach at least $270,000 by the end of 2025, citing historical market patterns and momentum indicators.

In his latest strategy update, PlanB analyzed Bitcoin’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a key momentum indicator that tracks overbought and oversold conditions. Historically, Bitcoin enters a parabolic rally when its RSI surpasses 80, which is marked by “red dots” on PlanB’s proprietary chart.

According to PlanB’s analysis, Bitcoin tends to experience multiple consecutive months with an RSI above 80 during bull market peaks. During these periods, BTC has averaged gains of 40% per month. Given Bitcoin’s recent surge toward $100,000 and RSI nearing 80, PlanB predicts at least three to five months of red dots, which could push BTC to a minimum of $270,000.

“If we look at historical points where RSI was 80 or higher, the average return in those periods was 40% per month. A single month of 40% growth would take Bitcoin from $100,000 to $140,000. Since I expect multiple months of red dots, at least three months of 40% growth would bring BTC to $270,000—my absolute minimum target for 2025,” PlanB explained.

While $270,000 is the floor target, the analyst suggests that BTC could go even higher if its historical bull market trends repeat. With institutional adoption growing, the Bitcoin halving event approaching, and increasing demand for BTC ETFs, several factors could fuel an even more aggressive rally.

PlanB’s stock-to-flow (S2F) model—a widely followed Bitcoin price prediction model—has historically been accurate in forecasting major BTC price cycles. If the model holds true, Bitcoin could be heading for another record-breaking bull run.

As Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream attention, investors are watching closely to see if this bold prediction materializes. If PlanB’s analysis proves accurate, BTC’s market trajectory in 2025 could redefine the crypto landscape.